Will Biden Drop Out of the Presidential Race?

Not for the faint of heart, or the intellectually dishonest…

The political landscape in the United States is a powder keg edging closer to a slow burning sparkler. Speculation is rife about President Joe Biden's future in the 2024 presidential race. As Biden faces scrutiny over his age, mental capacity, and recent political moves, many are wondering: Will Biden drop out of the presidential race? Let's peel the layers back on this thought-provoking question, exploring who might step in if he does, the positives and negatives of him stepping down, and why he might consider it.

The Age Factor: Biden’s Health and Viability

At 81, Joe Biden is the oldest president in U.S. history. This has naturally raised concerns about his physical and cognitive health. While he has remained active and engaged, visible signs of aging and the pressures of the presidency cannot be ignored. For some voters, this raises doubts about his ability to endure another grueling campaign and potentially serve another term.

Positives of Stepping Down:

• Health Focus: Biden could focus on his health and well-being, avoiding the immense stress of a re-election campaign.
• Party Strategy: Stepping down could allow the Democratic Party to present a younger, more energetic candidate to appeal to a broader electorate.
• History: Biden is the only Democrat who’s bested Trump in an election. Further, historically it’s difficult to beat a sitting president.

Negatives of Stepping Down:

• Perception of Weakness: Critics might view his withdrawal as a sign of weakness or a lack of a plan on within the Democratic party.
• Political Instability: A sudden change in the candidate could lead to uncertainty within the party and among voters.
• Funding: If anyone except Kamala stands in for Biden, all the funds his campaign has raised must be returned to donors.

Potential Successors: Who Might Step In?

If Biden decides to step down, the Democratic Party will need to rally behind a new candidate swiftly. Here are some potential successors:

Kamala Harris

As Vice President, Kamala Harris is the most obvious choice. Her experience and visibility on the national stage make her a strong contender. And as mentioned, she could legally use the funds Biden has already raised (well over $180 million thus far).

Positives:

• Continuity: Harris represents continuity of the current administration’s policies and initiatives.
• Historic Candidacy: Her candidacy would continue to break barriers as she would be the first female president.

Negatives:

• Polarizing Figure: Harris has faced criticism and controversy, which could polarize voters. Many question she has the intelligence to lead the free world.
• Campaign Experience: Her performance in the 2020 primary was lackluster, raising questions about her campaign effectiveness. There are serious questions about how she would fare in the blood sport of presidential debate on the global stage. 

Pete Buttigieg

The Secretary of Transportation and former mayor of South Bend, Indiana, has garnered significant attention and support within the party.

Positives:

• Youthful Energy: Buttigieg’s youth and vigor could inject fresh energy into the campaign.
• Policy Expertise: He is seen as articulate and knowledgeable on a wide range of issues.

Negatives:

• Limited National Experience: Buttigieg's limited experience on the national stage could be a disadvantage.
• Electability: Some question his ability to connect with a broader, more diverse electorate.

Gavin Newsom

The Governor of California is another potential candidate with a strong profile. 

Positives:

• Executive Experience: Newsom's tenure as governor showcases his executive capabilities.
• Progressive Appeal: He could attract progressive voters and galvanize the party's base.

Negatives:

• California Politics: His association with California politics might not resonate with voters in other parts of the country.
• Controversial Decisions: Some of his decisions as governor have been controversial and could be campaign liabilities.
• Scandal: Many speculate he may have hidden scandals in his past that have yet to be scrutinized by the “presidential microscope”. 

The Argument for Staying In: Why Biden Might Stay

Despite the speculation, there are compelling reasons why Biden might choose to stay in the race.

Political Accomplishments

Biden can point to significant legislative and policy achievements during his tenure, such as the American Rescue Plan and infrastructure investments. These successes bolster his argument for re-election.

Party Unity

Staying in the race could prevent potentially divisive infighting within the Democratic Party, ensuring a unified front against the Republican candidate.

The Final Consideration: What’s Best for the Country?

Ultimately, the decision for Biden to stay or step down should hinge on what is best for the country. The stakes are high, and the 2024 election will shape the future of the United States. Whether Biden continues his bid for a second term or passes the torch to a new leader, the focus must remain on what will lead to the best outcomes for the nation. 

Join the Conversation

What are your thoughts on President Biden’s potential decision to stay in or step down from the 2024 presidential race? Who do you think should step in if he decides not to run? Share your opinions and join the discussion below. Let’s engage in this crucial conversation about the future of our country.